๐ฏ Mission Objective: Re-Grey Pakistan
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๐ FATF Grey List – What It Means
A financial “naughty corner” for countries failing to stop money laundering & terror financing. It hurts global investment and increases scrutiny. -
๐ฎ๐ณ India’s Move:
Delhi is rallying support to put Pakistan back on the FATF grey list in the upcoming June 2025 plenary session. -
๐ฃ Reason Cited:
Recent attacks in Pahalgam and renewed activity of proscribed groups like Lashkar-e-Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed — with alleged Pakistani backing.
๐ Diplomatic Chessboard: India’s Gameplan
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๐ฃ️ Mobilizing Allies
India is talking to Western FATF members (like the US, France, and Germany) to highlight lapses in Pakistan’s post-2022 commitments. -
๐ Blocking the Bucks
India also plans to raise objections to a proposed $7 billion IMF bailout for Pakistan — arguing that funds may be misdirected toward non-civilian uses. -
๐️ International Forums Activated:
India is preparing dossiers, intelligence-sharing, and official memos for the FATF and allied agencies.
๐ต️♂️ The Evidence India’s Flashing
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๐ Lack of Enforcement:
Despite FATF’s 2022 delisting of Pakistan, India claims there has been minimal follow-through on prosecuting terror financiers. -
๐ซ Recent Incidents Used as Exhibit A:
The Pahalgam attack (April 2025) and a spike in cross-border infiltrations are being cited as proof that “safe havens still exist.” -
๐ฃ Proxy Groups, Real Damage:
India argues that while Pakistan cracked down on “front-end banking networks,” the “shadow networks” of fundraising still operate with impunity.
๐ฃ Pakistan's Dilemma: Between the Purse Strings and the Sword
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๐ Risk of Greylisting Again:
Could limit global banking access, affect loans, raise import/export costs, and harm its economic recovery. -
๐ฐ Past Greylisting (2018–2022):
Caused an estimated $38 billion loss in GDP, according to independent economic studies. -
⚖️ Pakistani Response:
Likely to counter-lobby FATF members, highlight its legal reforms, and blame political motives behind India's move.
๐ฌ Narrative War: India’s Messaging Strategy
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๐บ Media Engagement: India is using international think tanks, exposรฉs, and interviews with former diplomats to shape the narrative globally.
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๐ง Think-Tank Diplomacy: Delhi-based security and finance experts are feeding briefings to allied nations’ parliaments.
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๐งพ Dossiers in Play: The classic Indian playbook — bring proof, bring pain, and bring it in bullet points.
๐️ The Bigger Picture: Why It Matters
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๐ South Asia’s Stability:
India claims that unchecked financial flows from Pakistan-based networks destabilize not just Kashmir, but Afghanistan and beyond. -
๐ Setting a Precedent:
India wants FATF to remain a technocratic body, not a political club — but one that holds states accountable with real economic consequences.
⚖️ Final Act: Will Grey Turn to Black & White?
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๐️ June 2025 FATF Plenary in Paris is the stage.
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๐ต️ India’s Strategy: Amplify, Align, Apply Pressure.
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๐ฒ Pakistan’s Bet: Hope diplomatic ties outweigh documented truths.
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